Jon Rahm ($11,100 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. American Express: Cameron Young. Golf betting online is readily available at most online sportsbooks for all of the PGA Tour tournaments throughout the season. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Over the last five tournaments, he has averaged a score of -8. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. The Field The Valspar Championship returns to its regular March date in 2022, a year after being played last season in May. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. betting. Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. It hosted a PGA Championship in 1995, a U.S. Senior Open in 1998 and a U.S. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Rules Review: What is casual water and how do I play around it? The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. After finishing T14 at this tournament last year, I like for Kirk to follow that up with another Top 20 at terrific odds. Arnold palmer invitational picks golf digest. If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. Wednesday's best picks NBA money line: Pelicans over Trail Blazers (WON $31.50) PGA, Arnold Palmer Invitational: Will Zalatoris to finish in the top 10 (PENDING $10 to win $23) Read more about Gambling Safety here. Poston (+8500). Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. follow. He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. He might have the most underrated short game on tour, and hes no stranger to playing well at Rivieraearning three top 10s in his past five trips. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. Dont gamble unless you know the facts. The metrics are sour with no signs of them turning around. Then it just comes down to the putter. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! His approach play since the U.S. Open has been pedestrian, but hes gained over seven strokes in his past seven roundsthe rate we would expect from Thomas. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. For comparison's sake, the first round of The Honda Classic Thursday afternoon on Golf Channel drew 342,000 and 50,000 in the 18-49 demo. He faltered and finished third but has racked up four PGA Tour wins since that disappointment. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. how much money or how much time. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. Homa enters this week's event as one of the best putters on tour, ranking second . See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Also, the players that have the necessary statistics in their arsenal to compete and win these PGA picks this week. Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Atop the FedEx Cup rankings, he has a knack for diving deep, which will come in handy as he is one of our PGA picks. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Its often forgotten that design contribution extended all the way to Australia, where Arnold Palmer in his playing days won an Australian Open and Wills Masters title. Over his past 14 starts worldwide, hes notched 10 top-20 finishes, including a win on the DP World Tour and a T-2 in his most recent start. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. It was down 1.2 units on the week and we need a bounce back. betting. His last top-35 finish came three years ago, and hes lost strokes to the field in nine consecutive starts. Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. Golf bets frequently feature head-to-head wagering. Plus, with the way he thrives off the crowd, I think he loves it here and comes up with a big finish at great odds. But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. Its time for Billy to break through, and theres a lot of evidence that he will again soon. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. He won the Masters by a slender margin, giving him his first green jacket. His outright plays include five major long shots who come in at more than 40-1. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). I believe there are two legitimate paths to victory at Southern Hillselite approach play or elite around-the-green ability. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. You can decide if a hole-in-one will occur, how many strokes the winner will win, if a playoff will take place, and which golfer will shoot the lowest score in a certain round. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the PGA Tour, and Tiger Woods is back to play at his own event. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . 72-hole winning score: 279.5 (Par 288) In total, 27 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Rankings tee it up at Bay Hill. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. Hes not backing down. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . The Florida Swing kicks into high gear this week as a world-class field steps foot onto Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the 2023 Arnold Palmer PGA Championship odds from DraftKings golf odds show that Jon Rahm (+1100) is the current favorite to win the tournament. However, he hasnt needed that skill recently, gaining a staggering 20.4 strokes on approach over his past three starts. Poston. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). Bermuda: Russell Knox. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week with the 2022 Players Championship set to tee off on Thursday, March 10 at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla.. 'Golf's fifth major' will feature a. Tardy was one of 46 players to get LPGA Tour cards for the 2023 season on Sunday after the conclusion of the eight-round marathon that is LPGA Q Series. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. With so many rounds in a tournament, there are numerous ways to place a wager. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). The two time major winner . Scottie Scheffler claimed the first major title of the PGA Tours 2022 season. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Hes won five times in the past 18 months and possesses all the skills to win at any course. About Us The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. A field made up of the top 30 golfers in the season-long FedEx Cup standings. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. Of golfers priced $7,700 and greater on DraftKings, only Morikawas short game has been worse during that stretch. 0.18. PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. Rahm didnt have his best stuff in Phoenix, and he was still in contention throughout the entirety of the event. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. He was T13 previously but now hes coming to the WM Phoenix Open where hes been nails and is a phenomenal overall fit with his polished all-around game. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. He is priced with peers like Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood, who have been competitive all over the globe. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Instead, Im taking guys like Schauffele, Rahm, Rory, Tony Finau, Justin Thomas and more out of the mix with the Top Rest of World on FanDuel. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. World Golf Rankings 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 7 majors SportsLine's proven model simulated The American Express 2022. Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. He just needs to translate that global success to the PGA Tour, but his skill set should match up to Riviera. Cantlay hasnt fared well in majors during his career, recording only two top 10s in 20 starts. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. Caves Valley. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. His putter has also been great, beating the field in that category in eight of his past nine. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. It won't be all fun. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. The Grant Thornton Invitational (Dec. 4-10) will team 16 PGA . With the exception that you get to choose where your golfer will place in the competition. RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). After placing T6 in his 2019 tournament debut, he has since gone on to place T9 and T24 in his subsequent appearances. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Hes finished T2 and T3 here in the past two years, so I love for him to continue in that space and come through as the winner in this elevated event.